Join us for the next ICES Seminar in Experimental Economics and Game Theory of the semester, featuring Arthur Silve.
Prof. Silve, of Université Laval, will discuss his paper (co-authored with Thierry Verdier) Putting Your Neighbor’s House In Order: State Capacity, Conflicts, and Institutional Cooperation (Abstract). The talk will take place on Friday, March 3rd, from 4:00 to 5:00pm, in room 5183 of the Metropolitan Building, Arlington campus.
Visit the Seminar schedule to access the paper and to learn more about upcoming speakers.
Conflict in a neighboring country and poor state capacity are both robust pre- dictors of civil wars. This paper examines theoretically the nexus of these two characteristics of conflict. In a simple model of the market for violence, non-state actors provide war inputs to potential rebels in areas where the control of the state is weak. Weak control may take the form of a porous frontier between neighboring countries, which facilitates conflict spilling over in a neighboring country. The contagion effect is nonlinear, which helps explain observed patterns of regional clustering of conflict and state capacity. To avoid contagion, a country may shield itself by investing in better institutions. It may also intervene in its neighbor’s affairs: this paper explores lessons for military intervention in fragile regions, as well as institutional cooperation at the regional and multilateral levels.